footballgambler.co.uk

Pre Match Trading – Week 36 Results

30 April Real Madrid v Dortmund / Over/Under 3.5 Goals – Won £2.32
1 May Barcelona v B Munich / Over/Under 3.5 Goals – Won £4.26
2 May Chelsea v Basel / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.47
3 May Sheff Utd v Yeovil / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.27
4 May Hull v Cardiff / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.00
4 May Hull v Cardiff / Match Odds – Won £4.08
4 May Deportivo v Atl Madrid / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.88
5 May Liverpool V Everton / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Lost £1.99

A week’s online football trading profit of £14.29

Total Pre Match Trading profits to date is £229.01. My football betting bank now stands at £329.01, I started off the experiment with a betting bank of £100.00 and use around 75% of my available bank on my trades, which are all done pre kick off using Betfair.

Will keep this article short as I’m behind with my results and want to try and get them up to date this week.

It was another week of steady profits. Like with last week, I again placed my back and lay bets an extra tick away from the trading prices. This strategy seems to be working on the whole, so I’m going to persist with it over the next few weeks and hope the profits continue to flow.

footballgambler May 21, 2013 Pre Match Trading , , , , No Comments

Pre Match Trading – Week 35 Results

22 April Man Utd v Aston Villa / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £3.86
23 April B Munich v Barcelona / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 97p
23 April B Munich v Barcelona / Match Odds – Won £1.90
24 April Dortmund v Real Madrid / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.64
25 April Basel v Chelsea / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £8.06
26 April Leicester v Watford / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.11
27 April Man City v West Ham / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.80
28 April Espanyol v Granada / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.10
28 April Reading v QPR / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.94
28 April Chelsea v Swansea / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 99p
28 April Valladolid v Sevilla / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £3.64
28 April Sociedad v Valencia / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.52

A week’s online football trading profit of £32.53

Total Pre Match Trading profits to date is £214.72. My football betting bank now stands at £314.72, I started off the experiment with a betting bank of £100.00 and use around 75% of my available bank on my trades, which are all done pre kick off using Betfair.

This is more like it now. Another week’s straight wins with no losses at all, and I’ve finally broke through the £200 profit barrier.

The only significant difference I can see in my trading, is that I have started to put my back bet and lay bet up a couple of ticks more away from where I used to.

For example, if a market was showing Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 to back and 1.96 to lay, I have been putting my bets up at 1.93 or 1.94 to lay, and 1.97 or 1.98 to back. Whereas in the past I would have placed my back bet at 1.96 and my lay bet at 1.95.

This seems to have given me more leverage if a market moves a bit more aggressively than anticipated. It also makes a steamer slightly less costly. The flip side is that sometimes I don’t get a bet matched at all though, I feel this is a price worth paying though – remember, patience!

Is it the new slightly adjusted method that has led to these profits? Or have I just hit a run of good fortune? Not sure really, all I can do is carry on doing what I’ve been doing and see if it’s still producing good results in a few weeks time.

footballgambler May 14, 2013 Football Trading, Pre Match Trading , , , , , No Comments

Pre Match Trading – Week 34 Results

16 April Arsenal v Everton / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.18
17 April West Ham v Man Utd / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.05
20 April Burnley v Cardiff / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.95
20 April Sunderland v Everton / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.35
20 April Hartlepool v Brentford / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.90
20 April Valencia v Malaga / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.08
21 April Inter v Parma / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 42p
21 April Tottenham v Man City / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.34
21 April Osasuna v Sociedad / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.28
21 April Sevilla v Atl Madrid / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 96p

A week’s online football trading profit of £15.51

Total Pre Match Trading profits to date is £182.19. My football betting bank now stands at £282.19, I started off the experiment with a betting bank of £100.00 and use around 75% of my available bank on my trades, which are all done pre kick off using Betfair.

If proof were needed about what I eluded too in last week’s results, here it is, as week 33′s losses were wiped out in one week of football trading.

As I have mentioned before, this is a long term project, so there is no need to take stupid risks to try and recoup a loss (in a given week’s results)…. and this week just goes to show this.

Last week I didn’t chase the losses I incurred at the start of the week, and I was rewarded by winning them back – and more – this week.

It’s hard work trying to keep telling myself to be patient and just bide my time and the profits will come, but it’s something I have to keep on doing. I need to continually drum this message into myself, until it becomes my default setting.

I’ve believed for a long time now that trading or gambling is a mental thing, it’s how you react to a loss, etc. Or, can you stick to the script when you hit a bad run?

If you’ve a system that works, then why be reckless and chase? I just have to stick to this belief.

In order to trade in this manner you will need a betting exchange account. I use Betfair for reasons of liquidity. Betfair are now offering a £25.00 free matched bet to new customers, so it is a good time to open a Betfair account.

To claim this free bet and open a Betfair account, please click here….

footballgambler May 13, 2013 Pre Match Trading , , , , No Comments

Pre Match Trading – Week 33 Results

9 April Galatasaray v Real Madrid / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – LOST £9.72
9 April Dortmund v Malaga / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – LOST £4.08
12 April Leicester v Birmingham / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – LOST 2.83
13 April Leeds v Sheff Wed / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.58
13 April Aston Villa v Fulham / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 61p
13 April Everton v QPR / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £4.56
14 April Newcastle v Sunderland / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.16
14 April Stoke v Man Utd / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 57p
14 April Ath Bilbao v Real Madrid / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – LOST £3.83
14 April Zaragoza v Barcelona / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.43

A week’s online football trading loss of £9.55

Total Pre Match Trading profits to date is £166.68. My football betting bank now stands at £266.68, I started off the experiment with a betting bank of £100.00 and use around 75% of my available bank on my trades, which are all done pre kick off using Betfair.

The week got off to a bad start, and once I got behind I couldn’t really catch up. I pretty much got caught on the wrong side of two steamers in the two Champions league matches between Galatasaray and Real Madrid, and Dortmund v Malaga.

After that it was damage limitation. Thankfully, I didn’t really do anything stupid or reckless. I kept on reminding myself that it is a long term project, not a weekly one. I think this helped me not to do anything daft, like try and win it all back in one week’s worth of trades.

Having said that, the losses probably affected the way I traded the Bilbao V Real Madrid game on Sunday. If I wasn’t behind I would have traded out for a small green (that was available to me at one point), the fact that I was behind meant I went looking for a bigger win, and subsequently lost.

On the whole though, I’m happy that I didn’t let chasing the losses get out of hand. I know for a fact that in the past I have tried too hard to try and make sure I recorded a profit every week, and ended up making mistakes. That was stupid, as it is a long term project (as I have bored readers by stating on many occasions).

My apologies for the lateness of this blog post, I was already a week or so behind with this post when my PC packed up, leaving me without a PC for over a week. I managed to continue trading on my phone, but I was much more cautious.

I’m all up and running again now, so I will be updating all my recent results over the next few days.

Don’t forget that Betfair are now offering a £25.00 free matched bet for all new accounts. To claim this free bet, all you need to do is place a qualifying bet of £25.00 on the Betfair Sportsbook Fixed Odds (not exchange) at odds of 1.5 (1/2) or better within 30 days of opening your account.

This has to be your first bet, and it is only open to new customers in the United Kingdom or Republic of Ireland. PS, make sure there is a six digit code in the Promo code/Referral code box, you need this to claim your free bet.

To open a Betfair account, and claim your £25.00 free bet, please click here….

footballgambler May 4, 2013 Pre Match Trading , , , , , No Comments

Champions League Betting

I mentioned it in my last Champions League betting blog post back on 12th March, that an all German final at Wembley in the year of the FA’s 150th birthday celebrations wasn’t out of the question, and that at 14/1, it might be a value bet…. and lo and behold, look what has happened.

And guess who didn’t back his gut instinct at the time, and is now far from happy with himself. Typical!!!

Never mind…. the Germans have done it anyway, and didn’t they deserve it. After the first legs of the semi-finals I did think that if any team was capable of turning around such massive deficits, it would be one of Barcelona or Real Madrid. I did also think that it would be very unlikely and a massive upset, but if any side could do it, surely it could only be one of the Spanish giants.

To be honest though, I thought it would be Barcelona who would run it the closest of the two, so I got that badly wrong. Despite the two results, there is some logic behind my thinking.

To start with, I didn’t expect Real to have much of a chance as I thought Dortmund would just go and play their natural game in Madrid, and as a result of this, they would definitely score (at least once). I thought their youthful exuberance would just take over, and that Madrid would leave gaps at the back, and that one goal would see the tie all over. So I got that wrong (although Dortmund should have scored).

The other reason why I fancied Barcelona might run it a bit closer, was because I did wonder about Munich a bit. They bottled it last year in the final against Chelsea, and they almost blew it against Arsenal in their Last 16, 2nd leg a few weeks back.

It was more what happened in the Arsenal game that concerned me, as I got the feeling they didn’t know whether to stick or twist on their already – apparently – unassailable lead from the 1st leg, and I thought that those same doubts might effect them in the Nou Camp.

Fair play to Bayern though, they clearly learnt from those mistakes in the Arsenal tie, and more than did a number on Barcelona. And to add to that point, I didn’t expect Messi wouldn’t play.

On to the final, and surely Bayern won’t blow it this time? They are currently odds on favourite to win outright, at around 4/9 to 1/2. They are a best price of Evens to win in 90 minutes.

Any Australian readers who have stumbled across this blog and who are looking for a bet on Munich, or the Champions league in general, might want to have a look at Luxbet (backed by TAB), who are currently matching first deposits up to $500.

Luxbet is an Aussie bookmaker I have recently discovered, and as they are backed by a respected organisation like TAB, you can place your bets with them with the utmost confidence.

If you do fancy Jurgen Klopp’s team to do the business and pull off a shock before what looks to be it’s inevitable break up, they can be backed at 9/5 to win the tournament outright, and around 11/4 to 17/5 to win in 90 minutes.

And finally, how about a penalty shoot out to decide the tournament? A German side losing on penalties at Wembley, that can currently be backed at 21/4.

footballgambler May 2, 2013 Football Betting , , , No Comments

Another £50 Free Bet for existing customers from Bet365

Yes, here we go again, Bet365 are offering another £50.00 free bet to existing customer to use on Tuesday night’s Champions League match between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund from the Santiago Bernabeu.

This Bet365 free bet is the latest in a series of £50.00 free bets for existing customers, they usually come at around one a month on average. Following on from the free bets on both legs of the tie between Real Madrid and Manchester United in February and March, we hadn’t had one yet in April…. until now.

To qualify for the maximum £50.00, you simply have too place a pre-match bet on the Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund game for £50.00, and Bet365 will give you a free In-Play bet to the same stake during the big match.

To qualify for your free In-Play bet, simply place a bet before kick-off, then once the game starts place another bet on any In-Play market. If your FIRST In-Play bet loses Bet365 will refund this stake, up to the same value as your largest pre-match bet (max £50).

As always, there’ll be plenty to choose from with over 70 In-Play markets available throughout the game including Next Goal, Match Goals, Total Corners, Half-Time Result, Full-Time Result and much more.

In the past I’ve used the matched betting method to guarantee around £35.00 profit, I’ve also just claimed the free bet and had it on something I fancy at half time.

It’s really up to the individual what approach you want to take with using the free bet, but the main thing is to claim it, as it is one of the – if the not the – best free bet for existing customers offer of any bookmakers.

As well as this magnificent offer, Bet365 also offer a £200.00 sign up bonus, the best in the online bookmaking world. To open a Bet365 account, please click here….

footballgambler April 30, 2013 Football Gambling, Matched Betting , , No Comments

Latest Assured Soccer Profit Results

6 April Reading v Southampton / Correct Score – Won 95p
6 April Leverkusen v Wolfsburg / Correct Score – Won £4.14
6 April Watford v Cardiff / Correct Score – LOST £4.61
6 April Deportivo v Zaragoza / Correct Score – LOST £2.37
7 April QPR v Wigan / Correct Score – Won £1.36
13 April Leeds v Sheff Wed / Correct Score – Won £2.39
13 April Ajaccio v Nancy / Correct Score – Won £2.83
13 April Malaga v Osasuna / Correct Score – Won 46p
14 April Torino v Roma / Correct Score – Won £3.61
14 April Newells v Tigre / Correct Score – Won £2.26

Profit of £11.02

For more information about Assured Soccer Profits, please click here…

So far in April I’ve had a good run trading football using the Assured Soccer Profits system.

I’m definitely feeling more comfortable using this system than I ever have before. I have a plan for an exit strategy at half time if needed, and I also have an exit point that I use when/if things go wrong.

I’m not going beyond £25.00 liability a game, so unless there is extreme circumstances my maximum loss should only be around £5.00. I’m aiming to win around £2.00 – £3.00 a game if possible, this gives me a manageable win/loss ratio.

Like with most of my trading these days, I’m keeping my liability down to a strict minimum while I try to familiarise myself with the intricacies of that system. This means that unlike in the past, I can learn a system without blasting a load of cash while I don’t really know or fully understand what I am doing. And as a result of this, I’ve usually dumped that system without giving it a proper go.

I also find trading with comfortable amounts of money leads to more rational decision making if things start to go wrong. If I’m not panicking about losing, I tend to make more sensible decisions.

If using the system works over a sustained period of time, I will then up my stakes.

Anyone can read a manual or watch a video, as I have done with Assured Soccer Profits, but it takes time to fully understand how to implement that system properly.

At the moment I’m not making vast sums of money. Of the 11 games listed above, I’ve only made £1.10 a match on average, but it’s like all things, multiply it by a couple and so on and so on, etc.

Along with the pre match trading, I’m also finding using this system is helping me to develop a mindset that is thinking long term. When I traded this system a couple of years back, I expected to make money with every game. I now have no problem scratching out a game and moving onto the next one.

footballgambler April 15, 2013 Assured Soccer Profits , No Comments

Pre Match Trading – Week 32 Results

1 April Chelsea v Man Utd / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 93p
1 April Leeds v Derby / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.85
2 April Paris St-G v Barcelona / Over/Under 1.5 Goals – Won £2.46
2 April B Munich v Juventus / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 32p
3 April Malaga v Dortmund / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 94p
4 April Tottenham v Basel / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.41
4 April Chelsea v Rubin Kazan / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – LOST £12.97
6 April Reading v Southampton / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £4.31
6 April Norwich v Swansea / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.33
6 April West Brom v Arsenal / Over/Under 2.5 Goal – Won 89p
6 April Watford v Cardiff / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.65
7 April Tottenham v Everton / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £3.05
7 April Liverpool v West Ham / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.66
7 April QPR v Wigan / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.47
7 April Valencia v Valladolid / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 67p

A week’s online football trading profit of £13.97

Total Pre Match Trading profits to date is £176.23. My football betting bank now stands at £276.23, I started off the experiment with a betting bank of £100.00 and use around 75% of my available bank on my trades, which are all done pre kick off using Betfair.

Back to old ways, plenty of wins and one biggish loss. I say biggish, as there has been some fairly bigger ones over the past few weeks.

After the loss on the Chelsea match – which was stupid and should have been avoided – I got stuck in to the trading in an attempt to win it back. I don’t mean that I chased, I just got a lot more active than I had been. Amazingly it worked as I went on a runs of wins that put me nicely back in profit.

I also traded other sports last weekend and cashed in £10 in FREEbets I got offered over the Grand National meeting at Aintree. As well as the horse racing I got involved in some cricket betting on the IPL and I also traded some rugby union in the Heineken Cup.

I’m finding betting on other sports quite enjoyable at the moment. When I win, the wins are more profitable than the football trading, but the risks are bigger I suppose.

That’s why I am sticking to the plan with the football trading. This offers me a more sedate pace to work at. I believe steady growth is the way forward, not a couple of decent sized wins followed by a disastrous loss.

Going back to the Chelsea loss and the reason why I know it could have been avoided is because I was trading it in the morning before I went to work, and I could kind of see where the price was heading long before I was due to leave the house.

I’m very reluctant to leave a bet on when I’m away from my PC for a few hours as I don’t have any chance to react to big price shifts (not that I always react when I am at my PC, but that’s another story).

When I left that morning I could have traded out for a £1.00 (approximately) loss. I only needed a one tick movement to be in profit, and my bet had already been nibbled at so I knew my money was first in the queue.

The reason why I claim to know where the price was heading was because the big money was starting to come in, and it was looking to lay Over 2.5 goals (I had been trading over night, and was green by morning, but I then re-entered the market hoping for a couple more quid profit).

I believe this was because the market knew that Benitez would be picking Torres and co, basically the bulk of the side that lost to Southampton. As a result of this, the market wasn’t expecting goals.

I was of the opinion that this view contradicts Chelsea in the Europa league, as most of their games have had a lot of goals in them. Anyway, as I’ve said on here before, when you are looking to trade price movements, you need to try and read what the market thinks will happen, not what I think will happen in the game.

I can call the match right, but I’m trading pre match, so I have to be out of the trade before the game kicks off. If I base my bets on what I believe will happen in the match, and I’m going against the belief of the market, I’m never going to be in a position to trade out pre match for a profit.

The trick to this trading is reading how the market is behaving, not placing my bets based on what I think will happen in the match…..

Quite often when I leave a bet up, it’s usually because I’ve a fair idea it will be matched by the time I check back. And generally it has been matched.

If I’m being honest I wasn’t confident that this bet would be matched when I checked that evening, and it wasn’t. This makes the loss all the more stupid, as I actually had a fair idea of what was going to happen, and still fell into the trap.

footballgambler April 14, 2013 Football Betting, Pre Match Trading , , , , No Comments

Betting on the MLS and which teams will come on top of the league

MLS or Major League Soccer is the North American version of the League though with one important difference: teams cannot be promoted to it or indeed relegated from it. The MLS season runs throughout most of the year, from March to December, where each of the 19 teams in the league plays a total of 34 games. At the end of the regular season there is a series of playoffs during which each of the top ten teams compete for the coveted MLS cup.

LA Galaxy, David Beckham’s old team, won the MLS Cup in 2012 as it had done in 2011 and even without Beckham playing the team is looking powerful, and it will be even more so should the rumoured transfer of Frank Lampard to it actually occur however, until the bookmakers start posting odds for the forthcoming season it is difficult to get an overview as to where the land lies. The various drafts are over, the teams are in training and are playing the occasional exhibition match, and the Walt Disney World professional Soccer Classic did provide the opportunity to get a glimpse of some of this year’s young guns.

If you are getting a little frustrated at waiting for the MLS betting to kick off, why not log on to an online casino like www.jackpotcity.co.uk for some exciting football related betting on the slots?

One particular football slot game that has been receiving a considerable amount of attention of late is Soccer Safari. Rather than North America this football styled slot is based in South Africa and the various players are styled as animals from the jungle, which adds a great fun element to the game that was created in celebration of the 2010 Football World Cup. You might even try your luck at roulette and blackjack while you are there, but check back soon for some MLS betting odds

footballgambler April 9, 2013 Football Online No Comments

Free Bets For Existing Customers

As well as giving free bets to new customers, online bookmakers will also offer free bets to existing customers these days. This is nothing new, I have heard of this many times in the past, but from my own personal experiences it is getting more and more common.

Over the last year, I’ve had a Bet365 free bet for existing customers for £50.00, on average once a month. And I’ve also had two Paddy Power free bet offers since the start of March, one for £25.00 on football, and one for £10.00 on horse racing – the horse racing one, just last week during the Grand National meeting at Aintree.

Starting with the Paddy Power free bet offers, and they are not across the board free bet offers, they are person specific ones.

I have a few quid sitting in my Paddy Power account, and I very rarely use it (as I do most of my football gambling on Betfair). So once in a while Paddy Power will offer me a free bet in an attempt to kick start me in to using their services again. Technically speaking this is a free bet for existing customers, but it is person specific one.

The Bet365 free bets for existing customers go a step further, as they are open to all new and all existing customers (unless your account has been limited), they are across the board. They generally come in the form of a £50.00 free bet on a big live football match.

It’s worth having online bookmakers accounts with Bet365 and Paddy Power just for these reasons alone. As well as these offers, there is the original opening free bets offer you get from these online bookmakers, they are currently £200.00 for Bet365 and £50.00 for Paddy Power.

It’s also worth opening as many online bookmakers account as possible for the reasons above. As well as this, you will need a betting exchange account and there has never been a better time than now to open a Betdaq account.

Betdaq are currently on a promotional charge since they were bought out by Ladbrokes, and they are currently offering up to £200.00 in free bets, based on acquiring commission. You can open a Betdaq account here…

To claim £200.00 in free bets, click here to open a Bet365 account, and to claim a further £50.00 in free bets, click here to open a Paddy Power account.

footballgambler April 7, 2013 Free Bets , , , , No Comments
« Older Entries
Get Adobe Flash player