Is 3/1 on Bayern Munich to win the 2020 Champions League good value
The line up for the quarter-finals of the 2020 Champions League is now complete.
Manchester City, Lyon, Barcelona and Bayern Munich all confirmed their respective places across the weekend, joining PSG, Atalanta, Atletico Madrid and RB Leipzig in the last 8.
Of the 8 remaining teams, it is the German giants Bayern Munich who looked the most impressive.
3/1 on Bayern Munich to win the Champions League looks good value
In the latest football betting, the bookmakers have Munich as second favourites at 3/1, just behind Manchester City. So does this represent good value?
Looking at the pros, and Bayern looked solid on Saturday night when they easily dismantled Frank Lampard’s young Chelsea side. There was certainly no rustiness in the team after a month without a competitive match.
Prior to the Chelsea match Bayern won all of their 9 Bundesliga matches since the league resumed in mid May. They also won their DFB-Pokal Cup semi-final and then won the final, hammering Bayer Leverkusen 4-2 in the season finale.
Since then Bayern have won a friendly 1-0 against Marseille, and then there was the weekend thrashing of Chelsea.
Quite simply, Bayern are at the peak of their powers. They are a team in the zone, the epitome of German efiiciency.
They have one of the hottest free scoring strikers in Europe in Robert Lewandowski, and on the left they have the marauding Alphonso Davies who is looking unplayable at the moment.
The Germans are also fresh, having finished their domestic season on 4th July. While Friday night’s quarter-final opponents, Barcelona, finished their season in breakneck fashion in mid July.
The Catalans played 11 matches between resuming on 13th June, and finishing on the 19th July.
The draw is the one thing that is really going against Bayern. They are by far on the harder side of the competition.
Can Messi or Pep take down Bayern?
First up in the quarter-finals is Barcelona, with Lyon or Manchester City then in the semi-finals.
Although Barcelona does not have any real form to speak of, they do of course still have Lionel Messi: Who almost single handedly knocked out Napoli over the weekend.
Any team with Messi in is a threat, that goes without saying. But if Bayern can keep the great man in check, they will surely be too strong for the Catalans.
If Munich do come through their trial by Messi, it may well be former manager Pep Guardiola‘s Manchester City side waiting for them in the semi-finals, another stern test.
City weren’t convincing in the Premier League after the resumption. But it’s been apparent for some time now that the Citizens are focusing their attention on European football’s elite prize.
Even with City throwing all their huge resources at the Champions League, it’s still hard to envisage Pep’s team having enough to beat Bayern.
The only problem I see for Bayern is the knock-out format. The likes of Barcelona and Man City have the players to beat anybody on a given night. And the same can be said of potential finalists, PSG.
The same rules apply to Bayern though. And whatever the format they play in, the bottom line is they look the strongest side left in the competition.