I mentioned it in my last Champions League betting blog post back on 12th March, that an all German final at Wembley in the year of the FA’s 150th birthday celebrations wasn’t out of the question, and that at 14/1, it might be a value bet…. and lo and behold, look what has happened.
And guess who didn’t back his gut instinct at the time, and is now far from happy with himself. Typical!!!
Never mind…. the Germans have done it anyway, and didn’t they deserve it. After the first legs of the semi-finals I did think that if any team was capable of turning around such massive deficits, it would be one of Barcelona or Real Madrid. I did also think that it would be very unlikely and a massive upset, but if any side could do it, surely it could only be one of the Spanish giants.
To be honest though, I thought it would be Barcelona who would run it the closest of the two, so I got that badly wrong. Despite the two results, there is some logic behind my thinking.
To start with, I didn’t expect Real to have much of a chance as I thought Dortmund would just go and play their natural game in Madrid, and as a result of this, they would definitely score (at least once). I thought their youthful exuberance would just take over, and that Madrid would leave gaps at the back, and that one goal would see the tie all over. So I got that wrong (although Dortmund should have scored).
The other reason why I fancied Barcelona might run it a bit closer, was because I did wonder about Munich a bit. They bottled it last year in the final against Chelsea, and they almost blew it against Arsenal in their Last 16, 2nd leg a few weeks back.
It was more what happened in the Arsenal game that concerned me, as I got the feeling they didn’t know whether to stick or twist on their already – apparently – unassailable lead from the 1st leg, and I thought that those same doubts might effect them in the Nou Camp.
Fair play to Bayern though, they clearly learnt from those mistakes in the Arsenal tie, and more than did a number on Barcelona. And to add to that point, I didn’t expect Messi wouldn’t play.
On to the final, and surely Bayern won’t blow it this time? They are currently odds on favourite to win outright, at around 4/9 to 1/2. They are a best price of Evens to win in 90 minutes.
Any Australian readers who have stumbled across this blog and who are looking for a bet on Munich, or the Champions league in general, might want to have a look at Luxbet (backed by TAB), who are currently matching first deposits up to $500.
Luxbet is an Aussie bookmaker I have recently discovered, and as they are backed by a respected organisation like TAB, you can place your bets with them with the utmost confidence.
If you do fancy Jurgen Klopp’s team to do the business and pull off a shock before what looks to be it’s inevitable break up, they can be backed at 9/5 to win the tournament outright, and around 11/4 to 17/5 to win in 90 minutes.
And finally, how about a penalty shoot out to decide the tournament? A German side losing on penalties at Wembley, that can currently be backed at 21/4.