Tim Sherwood Odds Cut Again In Sack Race

Yet again Tim Sherwood finds himself at the centre of what looks to be a sustained gamble on him being the ‘Next Manager To Leave His Post.’

Leading up to the weekend’s football, ‘No Manager to leave’ was heading the betting with the season at this late stage , but the weekend’s results and Sherwood’s alleged antics have seen the Tottenham boss cut to a heavy odds on favourite.

Rumours are doing the rounds that Sherwood, shall we say, may have been involved in an altercation with one of his players, all alleged – and as a result of this and the 4-0 defeat Sherwood now finds himself as 4/6 favourite with Paddy Power to be the next manager to leave (this season).

SkyBet and Stan James go as short as 1/3 on Sherwood, BetVictor and Ladbrokes are 4/6, and William Hill make him 1/2.

No Manager To Leave is now second favourite at 9/4 with William Hill, while Pepe Mel now finds himself out a lofty 10/1 to be next out the door.

The pressure seems to have eased on David Moyes – up until Bayern Munich – as he now finds himself getting a nose bleed with Pepe Mel, now out at 20/1 with SkyBet. What might he be after a Bayern mauling though?

Will A Players Revolt Get David Moyes The Sack?

There’s a story running in today’s Telegraph newspaper that a player’s revolt is threatening the future of David Moyes as manager of Manchester United, with tactics and training methods apparently behind the players unrest.

I’ve read the article a couple of times now and there is nothing substantial in it to make me think about rushing out and backing Moyes to be the next manager sacked.

With United now having endured eight defeats in 17 games in 2014, the patience shown by the majority of Moyes’s players with his tactics and approach to the job is now at breaking point, with Telegraph Sport aware of the concern of squad members over the inability of the manager to arrest the slump. Source: The Telegraph

How much I would be reading into the above paragraph, I don’t know. It’s probably a fact that certain players aren’t happy with Moyes – it’s all but certain that the same tensions exist at almost every club up and down the country – but does it represent a players revolt and Moyes’ possible sacking?

I don’t for a minute underestimate what would happen if/when Moyes does lose the players, as his sacking would be inevitable – I’m just not convinced that this article is providing us with the smoking gun that he has lost the dressing room.

The article even suggests that the route of some of the unrest comes from players who will be heading for the exit at the end of this season (they ran a story the other week about Federico Macheda criticising Moyes), and the other main criticisms come from Paul Scholes, a man who is apparently still waiting to be invited onto the coaching staff.

David Moyes may well be the next manager out, but I don’t think this article is signalling this.

As punters we can make money from stories in the media about managers, I have traded no end of next manager markets on Betfair and made money off the back of newspaper headlines, but sometimes we have to read the stories thoroughly to see what isn’t there, as I believe is the case here.

The odds on Moyes haven’t really shifted, if anything they have lengthened as Coral now have a ‘Next Manager To Leave His Post’ market live, and they have Moyes out as an 8/1 shot, improving yesterday’s best price of 13/2 with Skybet.

Tim Sherwood Sack Race Odds

Tottenham’s season continued to implode last night with a poor 3-1 reversal at home to Benfica in the 1st leg of the Europa League, and unless there is something miraculous in the 2nd leg, their chances of progression in that cup now look long gone.

On top of the result and in particular the manor of the defeat, we also seen – despite some majorly stupid provocation from his opposite number, Jorge Jesus, in the Benfica dugout – Tim Sherwood not exactly cover himself in glory with his own performance on the touchline.

Last week we had Sherwood’s (truthful) outburst against his own players following the Chelsea defeat, closely followed by his quotes about the deafening silence from the board room, with regard to stories about him being replaced as Tottenham manager.

There is no disgrace in losing to teams like Chelsea and Benfica, but it’s the manner of the defeats that will be doing the damage to Sherwwod, as Spurs have looked totally shambolic for periods in both matches. All in all, I think it’s fair to say that it hasn’t been the best week of Sherwood’s managerial career.

This is now being reflected in the Next Manager To Leave His Post betting, as Sherwood’s odds have been gradually shortening over the last week to ten days.

Sherwood now finds himself at a variety of odds to be the next manager out, for example he is as short as 3/1 with BetVictor (2nd favourite behind Pepe Mel), and all the way out at 12/1 (4th favourite) with Stan James.

I got 20/1 on him last Monday with Paddy Power, who are currently 9/2 (this has also enabled me to lay him off on Betfair for profit).

As much as I think that Sherwood is heading towards the exit door at Spurs, will he get there before Pepe Mel at West Brom?

I have seen quotes from Mel this morning saying he is not sure what the fate of his job will be if West Brom fail to beat Swansea on Saturday. Although I think it was more Mel speculating on himself in response to a question, rather than his reacting to a direct threat about his job.

Mel is currently a best price of 4/7 with Paddy Power to be next manager out.

Tim Sherwood probably wouldn’t be sacked before the Europa League 2nd leg, and in all likelihood will probably keep the seat warm until the end of the season.

That is unless things get that bad for Spurs that his job becomes untenable. This isn’t out of the equation on current form, and they have got Arsenal on Sunday.

If Spurs put in another disastrous performance and get a good hiding from their arch enemies, then who knows what Sherwood’s fate could be on Monday?

David Moyes New Favourite In Sack Race

At the start of the week Norwich had just won, and the pressure had eased on the latest manager’s head to apparently be next on the chopping board.

Norwich’s well timed victory over Spurs (and recent home draw with Man City) seen Chris Hughton joined as favourite in the sack race betting, by the ‘no manager to leave’ outcome.

What a difference a couple of days makes though – and in the case of West Brom, with not even a ball kicked – as now both David Moyes and Pepe Mel are competing for favouritism in this market, and we have now seen Chris Hughton pushed out to fourth favourite at a massive looking 10/1 with Paddy Power.

First we had rumours on social media that David Moyes was about to be sacked on the back of their 2-0 defeat to Olympiakos on Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning, and then a story started to emerge from West Brom that Pepe Mel was under pressure and had been told by senior players that they weren’t adapting very well to his new playing style.

All this has seen the odds on David Moyes to be the next Premier League manager out slashed to a best price of 6/4 with Coral (£50 Free Bet), he is as short as 8/11 with Skybet.

Pepe Mel has also shortened and he is currently a best price of 23/10 with Skybet to be the next manager out on his ear.

The stories about Mel look the more significant to me. If it is true that senior players are unhappy with him (and it hasn’t been denied by the club), then it’s probably a safe bet to assume that they have gone above him, or behind his back, and made their feelings known to club hierarchy.

The story yesterday suggested that the players had told Mel of their unhappiness, and even if that is true, it is obvious that this is also known elsewhere within the club. And we all know what is generally the outcome when a manager has lost the dressing room!

Chris Hughton – The New Favourite In The Sack Race

What a difference a week makes, one win for West Ham and Big Sam, followed by a couple of disappointing results for Norwich, and all of a sudden Chris Hughton is now the odds on favourite to be the next Premier League manager to be shown the door.

Hughton’s latest set back – a 3-0 defeat at Fulham in the FA Cup – has seen him backed in to 4/5 favourite with BetVictor (£25.00 Free Bet For New Customers) to be the Next Premier League Manager To Leave His Post.

Big Sam is now out to 2nd favourite, and is 5/2, a massive drift from the 1/5 that he was generally available at before Saturday’s victory over Cardiff.

Both teams have tricky home fixtures coming up this weekend, with Norwich welcoming Hull City (for time being) to Carrow Road, and West Ham hosting an in-form Newcastle side.

On the surface of things, Chris Hughton looks to have the most to lose, as surely most people connected with Norwich will have this down as a must win fixture. No disrespect to Hull, but if you want to stay in the Premier League these are the sort of matches you need to win.

West Ham on the other hand probably wouldn’t be expected to beat Newcastle on current form, although at the start of the season, I would imagine that the Hammers’ fans and owners alike would probably have been expecting to be competing with teams like Newcastle by now.

It is widely regarded that if you are in West Ham’s position, you would want Sam Allardyce to come in and sort it out. I know that most West Ham fans don’t see it like that, but as a neutral looking on at the highlights of the Cardiff match last Saturday, it looked fairly obvious to me that the players are still right behind Allardyce.

West Ham fans should probably also ask themselves, what would their rivals rather they do? And I bet the answer is that most of them would like to see Big Sam sacked.

By all means call for his head at the end of the season, but for now, just get behind him.

The 3rd manager in the betting is Paul Lambert at 7/1. I can’t see this happening personally. Lambert was brought in to bring the wage bill down, bring through some youth, and put the club back on a path to some sort of financial stability…. and that’s really what he seems to be doing.

He has just brought in Grant Holt on loan until the end of the season, another cheap signing, but one who will probably get enough goals to keep Villa up and continue with the clubs restructuring programme.

Famous last words here, but Lambert is a no goer for me.

Next Premier League Manager to leave Betting

Chelsea’s elimination from the FA Cup today has seen Carlo Ancelotti and David Moyes swap places in the next Premier League manager to leave post betting with Sky Bet.

At the start of play Moyes was 2nd favourite, that has now changed with Ancelotti into 5/1, 2nd favourite and Moyes out to 6/1.

I don’t personally believe there was or is much chance of Moyes getting sacked, I think the opinion was based on Moyes’ body language in the defeat at Bolton, where he had the look of a man who had taken his team as far as he could on the resources available to him.

Ancelotti surely needs a good result in the Champions League against Copenhagen on Tuesday. He’ll probably survive the 1st leg, but elimination will surely be fatal for the Italian.

Unsurprisingly Avram Grant is still the favourite, he is currently odds on at 8/11. Grant seems to have been favourite all season and is still hanging in there. He has already seen off Chris Hughton, Roy Hodgson, Sam Allardyce and Roberto Di Matteo.

Other notable candidates are Roberto Martinez 7/1, Mick McCarthy 9/1, Ian Holloway 10/1, Alan Pardew and Mark Hughes 12/1 and both Alex McLeish and Steve Bruce at 16/1.

The biggest mover in the other direction is Gerald Houllier who is now out to 25/1 after looking like a dead man walking just over a month ago. I was also surprised to see Roberto Mancini out at 25/1 after been as short as 3/1 back in November.