Lay The Draw

The name of the system, lay the draw, is a bit misleading really.

When you look into it, it isn’t actually a system where you think the game won’t end in a draw, it is a system where you need a goal to be scored before the 70 minute mark of the game, which strictly speaking isn’t actually laying the draw.

After the 70th minute anything can happen, you are already out so you shouldn’t care if it ends 1-1 or 2-2.

You need to have a betting exchange account to use this system, I use Betfair (who have a £50.00 Free Bet available).

If you just go into this system blindly laying the draw, then it is my firm belief that in the long run you will almost certainly lose.

With this system you have to identify a game where you believe a goal will be scored before the 70th minute, and that goal will have to make a significant difference to the odds.

Depending on your match selection criteria, you could be limited to that goal needing to be scored by just one team. For example if you lay the draw in a game like Manchester United V Blackburn, and Blackburn score first you are (probably) in big trouble as the draw price won’t shift much and you now need two goals from Manchester United. Whereas if Manchester United score first, then the draw price will probably double and you are out with a handsome profit.

If you lay the draw in a game between two evenly matched teams, you run the risk of them cancelling each other out and it possibly ending in a stalemate 0-0 draw. But on the other hand if either team get a goal you should be able to get out with a moderate profit, but if that goal comes (for example after HT in 55-70 minutes) you should be making a tidy little profit.

I’m not a massive fan of this system and have only used it sparingly over the years, and without much success. I’m sure there is many a trader out there who swears by this system and would be quick to shoot me down and tell me that my game selection is all wrong, and they would probably be right.

There is just something that doesn’t sit right with me about this system though. If you use the Manchester United V Blackburn (fictional) example I gave earlier, you would probably be looking at about 5.5 to lay the draw, and that will require a large outlay to make it worthwhile.

One slight moderation to the system that does interest me is laying the draw at Half Time, this is a system I have thought about trying out for a while. I realise that this only gives me a smaller window to get the required goal, but as it is after HT, I can only imagine that it will lead to bigger price swings when the goal arrives.

I plan to start doing this soon for small moderate stakes while I’m in trial mode. I will probably use certain criteria like the draw price having to be no higher than 3, two evenly priced teams, and I would probably leave trading out until I am at the stage where I can take an all round (all 3 results) red of half my initial draw red, which in some cases should increase the time I have for a goal to arrive as it will leave me in the trade beyond the 70 minute mark.