Manchester City 50/1 for the Quadruple

The quadruple is still on for Manchester City after Saturday’s scare at home to Watford, when they had to fight back from 2 goals down at half time, before completing a 4-2 win.

And with another round now safely negotiated, the odds for an unprecedented quadruple are now a best price of 50/1 with BetVictor, Skybet, and Ladbrokes (who are currently offering £50.00 to new sign ups).

Around 10 days ago, there was 100/1 available on the City quadruple, but with another round of the FA cup done, and a lot of punters showing an interest in a City clean sweep, the bookies have been forced to cut the odds.

Skybet are offering a £30.00 Free Bet to new customers, and BetVictor a £25.00 Free Bet to new customers. It might be worth using the free bet on the quadruple? As after all, it is a no lose bet on a long shot.

There is still a lot of hurdles for Pellegini’s team to get over yet if they are to complete the quadruple, including Barcelona, but from what I have seen of both City and Barca this season, City certainly have nothing to fear….. and that can be said of everyone.

City also know they have been competitive with both Bayern Munich and Real Madrid over the past two seasons, as well as getting well outplayed by them both at times. The point is though, that City know they can compete with Europe’s finest.

Onto the FA Cup, and what a couple of cracking ties to look forward to in the 5th round. Manchester City hosting Chelsea, and Arsenal V Liverpool, are obviously the two stand out fixtures, but on top of that we also have two other entertaining match ups in Everton V Swansea, and Sunderland V Southampton.

City are still the favourites to lift the trophy, despite drawing Chelsea at the Etihad Stadium. The best price on City going one better than last season, and lifting the trophy, is 10/3 with Bet365 (£200 in free bets for new accounts) – you can get 3/1 with most other bookmakers.

Arsenal are 2nd favourites at 9/2 with Paddy Power (£50.00 free bet for new customers), and Everton are 6/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral.

Everton are the big mover in the betting, they are as short as 5/1 with most firms, they are clearly benefiting from the favourable draw, which sees the top 4 in the Premier League taking on each other. The matches are to be played over the weekend of 15th and 16th February.

England V Poland – Money Back Specials

Tonight sees the final nail biting world cup qualifier for Roy Hodgson’s England when they take on Poland at Wembley…. and luckily for us football gambling punters some of the bookmakers have their regular money back specials to hopefully ease some of the pain if England fail to qualify.

Paddy Power are offering a money back refund on all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on the match if Steven Gerrard scores any time for England (as own goals don’t count). Maximum refund is £/€100 per customer, and bets have to be placed pre match.

Stan James may well have the best or the worst offer depending on which way you want to look at things. They are offering money back (as a free bet) on all losing bets up to £25 placed pre match on First/Last Goalscorer, Correct Score or Double Result if England fail to beat Poland (minimum bet £5).

With the Stan James offer you get a consolation if England don’t win, but at the same time you probably don’t want to get the free bet…. if you are an England fan, that is!

At least with the Paddy Power money back special, you can get your money back if England win.

Personally I would have liked to have seen a special involving Poland keeper Wojciech Szczesny, following on from Brian Clough’s infamous ‘clown keeper’ quotes about Jan Tomaszewski.

Football throws up plenty of ironies, and I have a horrible feeling that Szczesny may well put in some sort of repeat performance and deny England. A bet offering odds on Szczesny making over 25 saves or something like that might have been a good marketing play for the bookmakers tonight.

Free £10 Bet with Betfred on England Internationals

Betfred are running another football promotion on the two upcoming England internationals over the next few days, by giving us a £10.00 Free Bet.

If you place a £10.00 bet on tonight’s England match against Moldova in-running, Betfred will give you a £10.00 Free Bet to use on Tuesday’s match between Ukraine and England.

This should be an easy way to make at least a fiver using the matched betting technique. Or alternatively you can just use it as a free bet on Tuesday, you do this by covering your £10.00 bet tonight by laying it on Betfair (ensuring you don’t lose), and then just have a risk free tenner on the match on Tuesday.

Remember, tonight’s bet in the England V Moldova match has to be placed in-running, bets placed pre match do not qualify. Good luck.

To open a Betfred account, please click here.

Premier League Winner Betting

All the bluster of the Transfer Window is finally over, and we can now thankfully start to make our (so-called) informed decisions about who will win what, in this season’s Premier League.

From a personal perspective I like to wait until all the transfer window bullcrap is over before I decide who I think will do what, as it’s just too hard to call when you don’t know which players will be at which clubs, when the window finally shuts.

Despite all the money that changed hands, not to much has changed with regard to the Premier League winner betting odds. Chelsea and Manchester City are both 2/1, and Manchester United are 4/1, which is pretty much where they were.

Despite Arsenal signing Mesut Ozil, they are still outsiders at 12/1, and with none of the top 3 (in the betting) making a significant signing, there was no major shift in the betting.

Okay, so some might rightly argue that Marouane Fellaini is a significant signing at over £25M, but when it comes to a signing that punters believe can influence the title race, Fellaini doesn’t seem to fit that description.

Chelsea signed Willain and Samuel Eto’o, but surprisingly let Lukaku go with Demba Ba staying at the club, while Manchester City did all their main business pre season.

Basically, none of the three made a signing that made football gambling punters sit up and take notice, a signing that would really influence the football betting world.

To me Manchester United have pretty much stood still squad wise, and that is mainly why they are third favourites. They won the league last year quite convincingly, but I think seasoned watchers would say that it wasn’t with a vintage squad. That said, it is still a pretty strong squad.

For me they needed a right back, and they clearly wanted (and need) a creative midfielder, but unless they can get a top class world performer, then there’s no point in just buying for the sake of it. Can they be strong enough to win the league again? I’m not so sure, I think they are going to need City and Chelsea to under perform (again) this season.

Chelsea underwent a bit of a transformation season last year for me. Mourinho will get the balance of the team right, even if that means leaving Mata out, which all the early indications suggest he will. If Torres can recapture his top form, then Chelsea will be a force to be reckoned with.

Can they be stronger than Manchester City though? I thought that City majorly under performed last season. They basically chucked the league away that day Nasri ducked out of the way of Van Persie’s free kick in the last minute at Eastlands.

There are a few ifs buts and maybes for me, here. Can Torres perform, and can Pellegrini get Manchester City to perform to their potential? Whoever comes out on top there, will win the league in my view.

There is one other conundrum to throw into this mix here, and that is Eden Hazard. Hazard looks a top class player to me, he looks the sort of player who will one day take the Premier League by storm and win the league for Chelsea in the sort of fashion Eric Cantana and Cristiano Ronaldo did for Manchester United in the past – almost single handedly.

I’m not sure if that will happen this year for Hazard, but I’m sure he will develop into that sort of player some time over the next two to three years.

For now though, if asked to nail my colours to the mast, I’m going to go for Manchester City to win the league this year (I predicted that last year as well), and I believe the rest of the top 4 will be made up of the same four teams as last season (Chelsea, Manchester United and Arsenal – although not necessarily in that order).

Odds are based on the prices with Bet365, £200 in free bets are available to new customers

World Cup Qualifier £20 Free Bet from Titanbet

Earlier this week Japan became the first side to book their place at the 2014 World Cup in Brazil, thanks to a 1-1 draw at home to Australia.

This Friday sees some of the nations in the European groups play another round of fixtures in their attempts to join Japan in qualifying for Brazil… and to mark these fixtures Titanbet are effectively offering us a £20.00 free bet on any trebles placed on Friday’s matches.

If you place a treble (the treble is the minimum, you can choose more selections if you wish) on Friday’s matches and it loses – Titanbet will give you a free bet to the same value for the international fixtures to be played on Tuesday 11th June, again this will have to be a treble.

This offer is for a maximum amount of £20.00. To qualify for this offer you will need to enter the bonus code wcq13 in the my account bonus section. The three match selections have to be at odds of 1.5 or higher. This offer is available in GB pounds, US dollars and Euros.

If you do participate in this offer, and are unfortunate enough to lose on Friday, please be aware that your free bet can only be used as a treble on fixtures played on Tuesday night, if you fail to use it on these matches you will lose the free bet – and we don’t want that!

Titanbet are an up and coming bookmaker currently trying to make their presence felt in the marketplace, so I expect to see plenty more of these sort of offers over the coming months.

For more information about the free bet offer, please click here…… always be sure to read the terms and conditions, and be sure you know what you are doing before parting with any cash.

Pre Match Trading – Week 32 Results

1 April Chelsea v Man Utd / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 93p
1 April Leeds v Derby / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.85
2 April Paris St-G v Barcelona / Over/Under 1.5 Goals – Won £2.46
2 April B Munich v Juventus / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 32p
3 April Malaga v Dortmund / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 94p
4 April Tottenham v Basel / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.41
4 April Chelsea v Rubin Kazan / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – LOST £12.97
6 April Reading v Southampton / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £4.31
6 April Norwich v Swansea / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.33
6 April West Brom v Arsenal / Over/Under 2.5 Goal – Won 89p
6 April Watford v Cardiff / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.65
7 April Tottenham v Everton / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £3.05
7 April Liverpool v West Ham / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £2.66
7 April QPR v Wigan / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.47
7 April Valencia v Valladolid / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 67p

A week’s online football trading profit of £13.97

Total Pre Match Trading profits to date is £176.23. My football betting bank now stands at £276.23, I started off the experiment with a betting bank of £100.00 and use around 75% of my available bank on my trades, which are all done pre kick off using Betfair.

Back to old ways, plenty of wins and one biggish loss. I say biggish, as there has been some fairly bigger ones over the past few weeks.

After the loss on the Chelsea match – which was stupid and should have been avoided – I got stuck in to the trading in an attempt to win it back. I don’t mean that I chased, I just got a lot more active than I had been. Amazingly it worked as I went on a runs of wins that put me nicely back in profit.

I also traded other sports last weekend and cashed in £10 in FREEbets I got offered over the Grand National meeting at Aintree. As well as the horse racing I got involved in some cricket betting on the IPL and I also traded some rugby union in the Heineken Cup.

I’m finding betting on other sports quite enjoyable at the moment. When I win, the wins are more profitable than the football trading, but the risks are bigger I suppose.

That’s why I am sticking to the plan with the football trading. This offers me a more sedate pace to work at. I believe steady growth is the way forward, not a couple of decent sized wins followed by a disastrous loss.

Going back to the Chelsea loss and the reason why I know it could have been avoided is because I was trading it in the morning before I went to work, and I could kind of see where the price was heading long before I was due to leave the house.

I’m very reluctant to leave a bet on when I’m away from my PC for a few hours as I don’t have any chance to react to big price shifts (not that I always react when I am at my PC, but that’s another story).

When I left that morning I could have traded out for a £1.00 (approximately) loss. I only needed a one tick movement to be in profit, and my bet had already been nibbled at so I knew my money was first in the queue.

The reason why I claim to know where the price was heading was because the big money was starting to come in, and it was looking to lay Over 2.5 goals (I had been trading over night, and was green by morning, but I then re-entered the market hoping for a couple more quid profit).

I believe this was because the market knew that Benitez would be picking Torres and co, basically the bulk of the side that lost to Southampton. As a result of this, the market wasn’t expecting goals.

I was of the opinion that this view contradicts Chelsea in the Europa league, as most of their games have had a lot of goals in them. Anyway, as I’ve said on here before, when you are looking to trade price movements, you need to try and read what the market thinks will happen, not what I think will happen in the game.

I can call the match right, but I’m trading pre match, so I have to be out of the trade before the game kicks off. If I base my bets on what I believe will happen in the match, and I’m going against the belief of the market, I’m never going to be in a position to trade out pre match for a profit.

The trick to this trading is reading how the market is behaving, not placing my bets based on what I think will happen in the match…..

Quite often when I leave a bet up, it’s usually because I’ve a fair idea it will be matched by the time I check back. And generally it has been matched.

If I’m being honest I wasn’t confident that this bet would be matched when I checked that evening, and it wasn’t. This makes the loss all the more stupid, as I actually had a fair idea of what was going to happen, and still fell into the trap.

Free Bets For Existing Customers

As well as giving free bets to new customers, online bookmakers will also offer free bets to existing customers these days. This is nothing new, I have heard of this many times in the past, but from my own personal experiences it is getting more and more common.

Bet365 – Over the last year, I’ve had a £50.00 free bet for existing customers from Bet365 on average once every month to two. Bet365 usually do it when a big TV match comes around. You need to have a £50.00 bet on the match pre kick off, and then Bet365 will give you a £50.00 free bet in running. It is an easy way to make upwards of £30.00 from matched betting.

As well as the regular £50.00 free bet, Bet365 also offer new account sign ups £200.00 in free bets.

Paddy Power – I’ve had two free bet offers since the start of March, one for £25.00 on football, and one for £10.00 on horse racing – the horse racing one, just last week during the Grand National meeting at Aintree.

Paddy Power also offer regular money back specials, and there is a £30.00 in free bets for new Paddy Power customers.

I have a few quid sitting in my Paddy Power account, and I very rarely use it (as I do most of my football gambling on Betfair). So once in a while Paddy Power will offer me a free bet in an attempt to kick start me in to using their services again. Technically speaking this is a free bet for an existing customer, but it is a person specific one.

The Bet365 free bets for existing customers go a step further, as they are open to all new and all existing customers (unless your account has been limited).

It’s worth having online bookmakers accounts with Bet365 and Paddy Power just for these reasons alone, never mind the sign up offers. It’s also worth opening as many online bookmakers account as possible, for the reasons above.

As well as this, you will need a betting exchange account if you wish to make money from these free bets using the matched betting method, and there has never been a better time than now to open a Betdaq account.

Betdaq are currently on a promotional charge since they were bought out by Ladbrokes, and they are currently offering up to £200.00 in free bets, based on acquiring commission. You can open a Betdaq account here…

Coral Free Bet

To open a Coral account and receive a £50.00 free bet, please click here…….

The Coral free bet is for £50.00 and is a ‘free matched bet’ which is ideal to use for matched betting. In the past Coral have generally only offered a £30.00 free bet, so I recommend grabbing this £50.00 free bet while it’s there (as there is no guarantee how long it will be there for).

To get the maximum £50.00 Coral free bet, you need to register and place your qualifying (first) bet within 28 days of opening the account. I can’t see anything about minimum odds at the moment, but I always look for a bet with odds of 2.00 (Even money) for my qualifying bet, just to be on the safe side in case something is in the general T+C’s.

Once you receive the Coral free bet, it is only valid for 7 days, so no time to waste here.

As this is a £50.00 free bet, I would be looking to get a minimum return of £27.50 (55%), although £30.00 plus should be easily achievable. If further help is required in cashing in free bets, it can be found in my article about how matched betting works.

Before placing any qualifying or free bets with any online bookmakers, please ensure you have read the terms and conditions and are confident in what you are doing. It is important you know exactly what you are doing before parting with any cash.

To open a Coral account and receive a £50.00 free bet, please click here…….