Brazil head the World Cup Betting

Well, I don’t think I could have called it much worse if I had tried too. For those not sure what I am on about, my blog post on Sunday about the Confederations Cup Final Betting said… If they are back on form tonight, I expect another trophy will be added to Spain’s growing portfolio.

What happened after that, I don’t know. Why did Spain perform so badly? Even football gamblers who fancied a Brazil win surely didn’t see that result coming!

I heard one Match of the Day pundit say that Spain were on the plane home after a minute and a half of the game, have to say I totally agree with that analysis.

I’d still take Spain to come out winners if they play Brazil in the World Cup next year. Torres and Mata both started on Sunday, and I don’t see either of them as first choice starters for me.

I also do think del Bosque used the competition to see how Spain faired playing a conventional number nine, and he also used it to give Torres a chance to prove himself. That said, Spain definitely wanted to win the trophy, and nothing can be taken away from Brazil, who were excellent and surprised me.

The crowd were amazing and I know it’s a cliche, but they surely must have been like a twelve man to Brazil.

I did a few quid on the game. When Brazil went a goal up, I thought they looked like a great lay on Betfair, I then topped that lay up at 2-0. Not my night I’m afraid! Never mind.

Anyway, Brazil are now the 7/2 favourites with the online bookmakers to win the 2014 World Cup. They are followed by previous favourites Argentina, and Germany, who are both 5/1. And Spain are now out to 11/2 on the back of that thrashing.

I still think the Spanish are the better of those four teams, and I would still back them to beat Brazil in a world cup match. Can Spain win a fourth tournament running though? The law of averages alone suggests not.

It’s a probability that they will get beaten by someone at the world cup next year. We have seen it many times in the past, the best side doesn’t always win a knock out tournament. And although I still see Spain as the best side, I don’t think I could back them to win next year’s world cup.

Confederations Cup Final Betting

It’s the final I certainly wanted, and I’m sure the tournament organisers, and majority of football fans would also have hoped for these two to be competing the final – Scolari’s emerging Brazil side, taking on the well oiled Spanish footballing machine.

The bookmakers have it as a close call. They have Spain as marginal favourites in 90 minutes betting, but curiously they can’t separate them in the outright winner market.

90 Minute Betting – Brazil 2.75, Draw 3.20, Spain 2.62

Outright Winner Betting – Brazil 1.90, Spain 1.90

If both sides play to their potential I can’t see past a Spain victory. I believe the Spanish are a far stronger side, they have been playing together for a long time now, and at times they can just look unbeatable.

Unfortunately tournament finals can take on a different feel though, and form can go out of the window. Teams can be far more cautious, and as a result of this finals have a habit of turning into nerve jangling, tight events, where the onus is more on not making the mistake that loses the match, rather than going out and taking the initiative to try and win the competition.

Spain usually have one sticky performance a tournament, and maybe that was it in their semi-final against Italy. If they are back on form tonight, I expect another trophy will be added to Spain’s growing portfolio.

One note of caution regarding Spain though. I do believe they are using this tournament to experiment a bit. If this is the World Cup final tonight, no way does Fernando Torres start in my opinion – despite his goals.

It will be interesting to see how Brazil approach this one. Will Scolari be making sure that they don’t get embarrassed, and attempt to keep things tight? Or will they play the traditional Brazilian way and take the game to Spain, and try to show the world that Brazil are the real footballing nation? I suspect it will be the former.

Onto the Money Back Specials, and Bet365 are offering us the usual 0-0 bore draw money back special tonight. Again this applies to pre match bets placed on one of the Correct Score, Half Time/Full Time or Scorecast, markets.

While Paddy Power’s money back special tonight applies if Neymar scores the last goal in this match (90 minutes only). If he does, Paddy Power will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast single bets on the match, up to a maximum of €/£100 per a customer.

Confederations Cup Betting – Spain V Italy

Despite booking their place in Sunday’s Confederations Cup final with a hard fought victory over Uruguay last night, Brazil are still only joint favourites to win the tournament outright, as both they and Spain are now sharing tournament favouritism at Even money.

Last night’s performance wasn’t great, but the Brazilians did more than enough to justify their victory, and 2-1 was probably a fair result.

Tonight’s second semi-final sees a repeat of the one sided final of the European Championship back in 2012. Spain thrashed Italy there, and on current form it’s hard to see a different outcome tonight, winner wise that is.

Online bookmakers have tonight’s match priced up as Spain 1.40, The Draw 4.75, Italy 7.50.

Spain are obviously heavy favourites, and it’s not hard to see why. As well as the superior skill of the Spanish side, the Italians have no Mario Ballotelli or Ignazio Abate, who are both out injured and will miss the rest of the tournament. As well as missing those two, Pirlo is also a doubt for Italy.

As for the Spanish, they have no such worries. I was amazed at the squad the Spanish have sent, there is no one daring to sit out this tournament with a Ryan Giggs’ style ‘sore hamstring.’ These players know that such is the strength in depth in Spain, if they decide they don’t want to turn up, it could be the last that is seen off them. Dare I say, the way international football is meant to be.

Onto the betting, and Bet365 have the usual bore draw money back special if the match ends 0-0. This is where you get your money refunded for a 0-0 draw if you have a bet on one of the Correct Score, Half Time/Full Time or Scorecast, markets pre match.

While Paddy Power are offering money back on First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast single pre match bets, if Fernando Torres scores the last goal (max refund is €/£100).

Confederations Cup Betting – Outright Winner

Brazil 2.00
Spain 2.00
Italy 13.00

Confederations Cup Betting – Brazil V Uruguay

The Confederations Cup is back tonight with the first semi-final, between Brazil and Uruguay.

Hosts Brazil are unsurprisingly the favourites in tonight’s game. To qualify for the final (win by any method), they are 1.16, while Uruguay are 5.00.

The 90 minute betting is more value if you can’t see past a Brazil win. Again, online bookmakers have it priced up heavily in the home sides favour….

Brazil 1.33 – Draw 5.25 – Uruguay 8.00

Uruguay were adequate in qualifying, without setting the world on fire. And up until their final group match against Italy, Brazil had looked a touch nervous to me. Maybe it was the chance to play with a bit of freedom that produced the more Brazil like performance in their 4-2 victory over the Italians (and some very unlike Italian defending).

For tonight’s game, Andres Scotti of Uruguay is suspended, apart from him both teams are expected to be at full strength.

Despite attacking flare of the class of Neymar, Hulk, Cavani and Suarez on show, I still think Over 2.5 goals looks a bit short. The bookmakers have it priced as 1.57 on Over 2.5 goals, and 2.35 on Under 2.5 goals.

I see it as one of those games that could either be tight and nervous, or it could be one that sees an early Brazilian goal release the shackles and produce free flowing football with plenty of goals.

It’s a hard one to call, but given it’s a semi-final and Brazil might be playing a cautious game, I will be steering clear of Over’s at that price (I’m not a fan of backing Under’s, so that’s out of the question).

If it is to be a tight nervous affair, Neymar to score first and Brazil win 1-0, in a Scorecast bet is 17.00, which looks reasonable value. So I think I will have a small couple of quid on that for a bit of interest (it’s a cheap and easy way for me too have a bet).

And don’t forget with the Bet365 bore draw money back special available on Scorecast bets, it it finishes 0-0 after 90 minutes, I would get my couple of quid back.

Confederations Cup Betting – Group B

Group B concludes tonight and according to the odds, there is not much doubt about the outcome in either match.

Again like last night, both matches are kicking off simultaneously, as is always the case with the final round of group matches in major international tournaments.

Onto the the least obvious outcome first, Nigeria V Spain, and the online bookmakers are pricing it up as follows..

Nigeria 15.00 – Draw 6.50 – Spain 1.20

A draw is enough to see Spain top the group, and keep the prospects of the dream ‘Spain V Brazil’ final, alive (as Spain need to top the group to avoid Brazil in the semi-final). Defeat for the Spanish could see them eliminated, but it would have to be one hell of a beating.

The second game is even more of a mismatch on paper. The bookmakers are pricing it up as follows…..

Uruguay 1.002 – Draw 81.00 – Tahiti 151.00

I’m sure we’ve been here before with Tahiti, it was the same with the Spain fixture earlier in the competition, for a £100.00 bet on Uruguay, you will get 20p back – you would probably get better interest from a bank for your £100.00, and that’s saying something these days!

Again, the Bet365 0-0 bore draw refund is available on this match, giving you your money back on all pre-match Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast bets, if the match finishes 0-0.

Onto the outright winner betting and even last night’s thrashing of Italy hasn’t seen Brazil reinstated as favourites, Spain look like they will be there until their tournament ends, either way.

Confederations Cup Betting – Outright Winner

Spain – 2.10
Brazil – 2.37
Italy – 8.50
Uruguay – 15.00
Nigeria – 151.00

Confederations Cup – Group A Betting

The last round of fixtures in Group A of the Confederations Cup take place tonight, and with qualification already decided, it’s just final group formalities left to be played for.

Both games are kicking off simultaneously, with Brazil taking on Italy, and Mexico taking on Japan.

Starting with Brazil V Italy, and the bookmakers are pricing it up like this.

Brazil 1.57, Draw 3.75, Italy 6.50

Brazil only need a draw to top the group, and probably avoid Spain in the semi-finals. The Italians might want to try and win this one and avoid Spain, given what the Spanish did to them in the Euro 2012 final.

Brazil have looked a bit edgy so far in this tournament, and given the open brand of football Italy played against Japan, they might fancy going for it against Brazil tonight.

I know it’s not a must win game for either side, but the thought of facing Spain in the semi-finals must be daunting, and worth putting in a shift for tonight.

For anyone expecting another goal feast (like Japan V Italy) in this one, Over 2.5 Goals is 1.8, and Under 2.5 Goals is 2.00.

The other game in Group A sees just a matter of pride to be played for between Japan and Mexico. If they are bothered, the draw favours Mexico, as it will see Japan propping up the group.

Odds – Mexico 2.75, Draw 3.50, Japan 2.40

I thought Japan were excellent against Italy the other night, and should never have lost the match. Having said that, they did lose the match, and that was mainly down to not having the ‘know how’ to get the job done (something the Italians have in abundance).

Dead rubbers are always a risk when it comes to betting. Going on the form of the matches I’ve seen, it’s not hard to see why Japan start as favourite, buts that’s not to say this match will follow that theme. For an alternative bet here, Over 2.5 Goals is again 1.80, while Under 2.5 Goals is 2.00.

As ever, the Bet365 bore draw money back offer applies to both these games. This is where you get your money back on any pre-match bets on one of the Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets (not all three), if the match finishes 0-0.

The outright betting still sees Spain as favourites, despite the fact they haven’t yet qualified for the semi-finals, and Brazil have. This just further empathises Spain’s dominance.

Confederations Cup Betting

Spain – 2.20
Brazil – 2.37
Italy – 7.00
Uruguay – 15.00
Nigeria – 151.00

Latest Confederations Cup Betting

The second round of matches take place in Group B, in the FIFA Confederations Cup today.

The early kick-off is the mismatch between whoever Spain decide to put out against Tahiti, and the second match is a more interesting one between Uruguay and Nigeria.

Spain start off at an unbackable 1.002 against Tahiti tonight. To clarify that, if I was to put £100.00 on Spain tonight, I would win 20p. I had to look twice at that myself, as I wasn’t sure if it was 1/50, where I would have got £2.00 back on a £100.00 bet…. but it isn’t.

The match odds are, Spain 1.002, Draw 81.00, Tahiti 251.00.

There’s obviously no value there, so other markets could be the way to find a bet on this match.

The second match is far more of a contest, with Uruguay probably (depending on the Spain result) needing to avoid defeat to Nigeria to stay in the competition.

The match odds for this fixture are Nigeria 4.50, Draw 3.50, Uruguay 1.80.

The South Americans are heavy favourites here, and having seen how wasteful and slack Nigeria looked against Tahiti, that’s no real surprise.

Having said that, it’s hard to justify Uruguay being odds on after their pretty dismal performance against Spain at the weekend.

Again, the Bet365 0-0 bore draw refund is available on this match, giving you your money back on all pre-match Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast bets, if the match finishes 0-0. I can’t see it being an issue in the Spain game, although I thought it might have had a chance of coming into play in last night’s Italy match!

Onto the outright winner betting, and Japan and Mexico are now out of the tournament after yesterday’s defeats. Despite having already qualified, Brazil now find themselves as second favourites behind Spain on the back of their performance against Mexico.

Last night seen an entertaining match involving Italy, yes the Italians! Their 4-3 hard fought victory over Japan seen the Japanese exit the competition, but it has to be said that they look a fairly decent side who should have at least got a draw from yesterday’s contest.

Confederations Cup Betting

Spain – 2.25
Brazil – 2.37
Italy – 6.50
Uruguay – 17.00
Nigeria – 51.00
Tahiti – 25001.00

Confederations Cup Betting

The FIFA Confederations Cup gets under way in Brazil on Saturday, and thankfully gives us starved football gamblers something to bet on over the next two weeks.

The Confederations Cup is a two week tournament played every four years, in the year prior to the World Cup. It is hosted by the nation staging the World Cup, and is basically a dress rehearsal for the main event.

This year the eight competing nations are made up of Brazil, Spain, Italy, Uruguay, Mexico, Nigeria, Japan and Tahiti. Brazil qualify as hosts, Spain as world cup winners, and the other six are made up of the winners of their own Confederation tournaments (except for Italy, who qualify as European Championship runners-up, as Spain qualify through winning the world cup).

The opening fixture sees Brazil take on Japan. Brazil are 1.28, the draw is 5.25 and Japan are 11. The favourites to win the tournament are also Brazil, they are 2.40, with Spain their nearest rivals at 2.62.

A couple of the Bet365 promotions are applicable for Confederations Cup betting. The usual 0-0 bore draw refunds apply to all pre-match Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast bets. Basically, if you have a pre match bet on any of those markets, you will get your money back if it finishes 0-0.

The 100% bonus on your first mobile or tablet bet can also be used on the Confederations Cup. This is where Bet365 will match the first mobile or tablet bet, of both new or existing customers, up to a maximum of £50.00.

To claim your bonus, simply place a qualifying bet on your mobile or tablet of between £1.00 and £50.00, and you will then be entitled to a 100% bonus, up to a maximum of £50.00.

Once you have placed your qualifying bet, you will receive an email with your Offer Code to your registered email address. Alternatively, you can contact Bet365 and speak too one of their Customer Service advisers.

You then need to enter your Offer Code by entering the Members area on the site or through bet365 On The Move.

The Confederations Cup is live on the BBC.