PSG V Chelsea – Paddy Power Money Back with Eden Hazard again

Paddy Power’s love in with Chelsea’s Eden Hazard continues tonight, as they are again offering money back as a free bet on all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on the match, if Eden Hazard scores at any time during the 90 minutes.

This looks to be an intriguing match tonight, with what looks on paper to be two fairly evenly matched teams. It promises to be a tactical battle, and this is usually the time that Jose Mourinho’s skills come into fruition.

I can’t see Chelsea going to Paris, and going all out for the win, but I’m sure they will be looking for the vital away goal, while trying to keep the match close and tight. Players of the rarity and class of Hazard are vital in such tight contests.

The draw looks a good bet tonight, and at the moment the draw is a top price of 12/5 with Bet365 (who also have £200.00 in sign up offers available to new customers and a £50.00 Free Mobile Bet for existing customers). As a result of the bookies expecting a tight match, Under 2.5 goals is also very short, it is currently as short as 1/2 with some layers.

Back to outright match betting, and if you fancy a PSG victory, it is a best price of 23/20 with BetVictor. PSG have been steadily drifting over the last 24 hours, having been around even money and just above at the start of the week.

Chelsea on the other hand are a best price of 16/5 with Coral. It is the draw that seems to be getting backed though, and I’m not sure how long the 12/5 will last for though.

Like with Bayern Munich last night though, it is sometimes risky backing the away team, as they can often be content with a scoring draw, or even losing by the odd goal as long as they get an away goal. In the case of backing a Chelsea win tonight though, 16/5 represents far better value than the 4/9 available on Bayern last night.

In terms of qualifying from this tie, the bookies can’t seem the separate the two teams. Most go 10/11 or 5/6 on both sides to qualify, you can get Evens on PSG with Betfair Sportsbook though.

Manchester United 20/1 For Champions League Glory

They may have made it through in spectacular style last night, but bookies and punters alike don’t seem to be rating Manchester United’s chances of going any further in this season’s Champions League – as to put it politely, United are eight favourites out of the eight teams left in the competition.

It was a great win for United last night. A lot of people were writing them off, and I thought there was a strong possibility that they wouldn’t be able to keep a clean sheet. They started the night at odds against to qualify (Olympiakos were 5/11 favourites, United 2/1), so it was by no means a certainty that they were going to get through.

Despite qualifying though, punters still don’t think there is any realistic chance of them winning the competition. United are currently last in the betting, at a best price of 20/1 with SkyBet (£30.00 Free Bet for New Customers).

To put it into some sort of perspective, you can get shorter odds on Moyes in the sack race. He is currently a best price of 12/1 with SkyBet to be the next manager to leave his position. In fairness, these odds are suggesting that neither outcome is likely to materialise.

United do seem to have saved their best performances for Europe though. If they could get some form together that 20/1 could be massive.

Pundits were quick to point out on Sky Sports last night that Moyes hadn’t been picking Ryan Giggs lately. This suggests to me that it was because Moyes has been looking for combinations for next season, in other words he hasn’t been picking his strongest starting XI.

He isn’t going to be experimenting in the next round of the Champions League, he will surely be picking his best eleven.

There are no weak teams left in the tournament at this stage, but even given that, if Manchester United can avoid the obvious three of Bayern Munich, Barcelona and Real Madrid in the next round, they will still have a slight chance of progressing further.

Bayern are still the favourites at a best of 2/1 with Ladbrokes, followed by Real Madrid at 4/1 with Bet365, and Barcelona also at a best price of 4/1 with Totepool.

Manchester United V Olympiakos – Money Back Specials

Last chance for Manchester United tonight as they attempt to overturn a 2 goal deficit in the second leg of their Champions League tie at Old Trafford.

Some might even say that it’s a last chance for David Moyes tonight as well, as it would appear that punters and bookies are anticipating another United failure, as Moyes has again been cut in the betting to be the Next Manager To Leave His Post.

On Monday, Moyes was available at a general 7/2, with a best price of 9/2. He is now 3/1 with most firms, with 4/1 at William Hill the stand out price.

Onto the actual match tonight, and the 4/7 on a United win with Paddy Power is the stand out price, most other bookies have United at 1/2 or 8/15. United are a best price of just over 2/1 on the Betfair exchange to qualify for the next round.

Olympiakos are a best price of 5/11 with Unibet to qualify, and if you fancy them to inflict yet another home defeat on David Moyes’ team tonight, they are a best price of 6/1 with Stan James to win in 90 minutes. The draw is 39/11, again with Unibet.

Onto the Money Back Specials and if Manchester United manage to qualify tonight, Paddy Power will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on tonight’s match (90 minute betting only) as a free bet.

BetVictor are giving a refund on losing Correct Score, First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Scorecast & Half-Time/Full-Time bets, if 4 or more goals are scored during the match (again, 90 minute betting only). This refund will also be in the form of a free bet.

And finally, if s goal is scored in injury time, Unibet (£25.00 Deposit Bonus Available To New Customers) will refund all losing Correct Score, Halftime/Fulltime, First Goalscorer and Last Goalscorer bets. You will need to opt-in to be eligible for the offer, the link is on the Unibet Promotions page.

Chelsea V Galatasaray – Money Back Specials

It’s arguably the Premier League’s last stand in this season’s Champions League when Chelsea take on Galatasaray in the 2nd leg of their last 16 tie at Stamford Bridge tonight.

With Manchester United’s predicament not looking too clever, Chelsea are looking like English football’s only real prospect of any sort of success in Europe’s elite competition.

The Blues are favourites to go through having secured an away goal in Turkey when the sides drew 1-1 in the first leg, and are currently a best price of 2/11 with Bet365 (£200 Sign Up Bonus)to qualify for the next round.

Galatasaray know they need away goals, not an easy task away to Chelsea, and as a result the Turkish side are a best price of 4/1 with BetVictor to qualify.

Unsurprisingly Chelsea are also favourites in the 90 minute betting, 2/5 with Bet365, but with Chelsea not needing to win, that could be a slightly risky bet at that price.

Galatasaray are a best price of 17/2 with Betfair, they have never won before in England and have a poor record of only 4 wins from 19 on the road this season.

A high scoring draw is probably the best chance for the Turkish side to progress tonight, the draw is a best price of 4/1 with Bet365.

Onto the money back specials and enhanced prices, and if Didier Drogba scores during the 90 minutes (extra time not included), Paddy Power will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on the match, in the form of a free bet.

Meanwhile, Ladbrokes have boosted Chelsea’s odds to 1/2 to beat Drogba’s Galatasaray side if you select the Blues in a five-fold, or greater, accumulator bet.

Bayern Munich V Arsenal – Money Back Specials

All the bookmakers attention seems to be fully focused on the Cheltenham Festival this week, but there is still one or two fairly important Champions League matches to be played to a finish over the next couple of nights.

Tonight sees Arsenal try to overturn a 2 goal deficit against Bayern Munich in Germany. Arsenal did manage a 2 goal victory there last year, so could lightning strike twice?

It seems very unlikely, but I would imagine most punters thought the same ahead of Wigan taking on Manchester City in the FA Cup last weekend, and look what happened there.

Paddy Power as usual are making sure they have their money back specials available for tonight’s match, as they are offering money back on all of the usual markets – all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles – if Olivier Giroud scores anytime.

Will Arsenal throw caution to the wind and go for things, resulting in plenty of goals? If so, then BetVictor’s refund offer could come into play.

BetVictor (£25.00 Free Bet Available) are offering a refund on all losing Correct Score, First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Scorecast & Half-Time/Full-Time bets in the form of a free bet if 5 or more goals are scored during the Bayern Munich v Arsenal match tonight.

All the regular offers also still apply to this match, such as the Bet365 0-0 Bore Draw refund, and the William Hill Acca Insurance offer, meaning there is a wide variety of markets covered by money back specials.

Onto the match odds, and Bayern Munich are available at 1/3 with most firms, the draw is a stand out 11/2 with Bet365, and 9/1 is generally available on Arsenal victory.

Don’t forget, that with the slightest possibility of extra time tonight, all of the above markets apply to 90 minute betting only.

Champions League Betting – Galatasaray V Chelsea

Manchester United mucked up their chance in Greece last night, and in doing so, they became the third English club to not even register a goal so far in this round of the Champions League.

Tonight Chelsea will be looking to buck that trend when they visit Turkey. Like Manchester United last night, Chelsea are just odds against favourites. Jose Mourinho’s team are a best price of 21/20 with Bet365 to win over 90 minutes tonight, Bet365 are also top price on the draw at 12/5.

If you fancy Galatasary to upset the odds, they are a best price of 16/5 with Boylesports. Galatasaray is no easy place to visit in Europe, as Juventus found out earlier this season. They have only lost twice in the league this season and are currently 4 points off the top, they beat Besiktas 1-0 last weekend to overtake them and claim 2nd place.

Their downfall seems to be that they are drawing to many games. So far their league record reads, played 22, won 12, drawn 8, and lost 2. This suggests they are a hard side to beat.

With this in mind, and the fact that Chelsea have now seemingly become a typical Mourinho side again (hard to beat, and able to grind out 1-0 victories), a low scoring tight game could be in store tonight?

If you fancy a couple of ironic bets instead, another 2-0 reversal for the English side (all 3 have lost 2-0 so far in the 1st legs of their Champions League ties) is a best price of 26/1 on Betfair’s betting exchange.

And after getting slagged off by Mourinho, Samuel Eto’o is 11/2 with Paddy Power to be first goalscorer, and is 12/5 on Betfair to be an any time goalscorer.

Betfair Sign Up Offer – Arsenal V Bayern Munich

Betfair are offering new customers an enhanced price on Both Teams To Score (BTTS) in the Arsenal V Bayern Munich, Champions League match tonight.

At the moment, both teams to score is 4/6, if you are a new customer taking advantage of the offer, you will get 3/1 on both teams to score.

This offer is only available on their Sportbook (not the exchange), and is limited to a maximum bet of £/€10.00 (boo) per customer. You won’t receive the enhanced price if you cash out during the match (and the bet later comes in), and it is only available to new customers from UK and Republic of Ireland.

Please be aware that if you do take advantage of this offer, you will not see the 3/1 on the Sportsbook, it will be paid out at 4/6 (the current price), or whatever price it is when you place your bet (assuming it changes from 4/6).

The enhanced price will be settled within 24 hours. So (for example) assuming the price stays at 4/6, you will get paid out £16.67 (£10 stake and £6.66 winnings @ 4/6) immediately and £23.33 (to reflect the 3/1 enhancement) within 24 hours.

Obviously any kind of offer from bookmakers or betting exchanges is good for us punters, but I do get annoyed that these sign up offers for new customers are limited to £10.00 bets. £50.00 is probably too much, I get that, but I don’t see why they couldn’t extend them to £25.00.

Anyway, moan over, and it does look like a bet with good potential. It’s not often Bayern don’t score, and Arsenal will obviously be looking to take advantage of it being their home leg tonight.

You can open a Betfair Account here. If anybody is unsure, or wants any information about how the bet works, feel free to leave a comment below, or drop me a mail at dean@footballgambler.co.uk

Man City V Bayern and Shakhtar V Man Utd, Champions League Betting Preview

Tuesday night’s Champions League fixtures seen some remarkable performances and results. There was controversy at Celtic, great wins for Arsenal and Chelsea, and some great late drama at the Porto and Ajax matches.

I was particularly interested to see how Arsenal would fare against Napoli, as Napoli would probably be their stiffest test so far this season. I was amazed at the ease in which the Gunners won in the end, maybe they are the real deal this year? That said, Napoli did look a bit shambolic on the night.

Despite the impressive win, Arsenal are still no where near the favourites in the outright winner betting, Arsene Wenger’s men can currently be backed at 18/1 (joint ninth favourites) with Bet365 to win the Champions League.

The pick of tonight’s matches for me sees Man City v current the Bundesliga, Super Cup and Champions League holders, Bayern Munich. City are 3.25, the Draw is 3.40, Bayern are 2.37.

City have stuttered a bit this season, they have recorded some impressive victories in recent weeks, but have also suffered some shock defeats, the most recent away to Aston Villa on Saturday. Pellegrini will need to turn things around very quickly if they plan to challenge undefeated Bayern Munich, whom have won their last 6 back-to-back fixtures.

City’s neighbours are also in action, and a tie away at Shakhtar looks like one of those fixtures a manager under pressure must dread. On paper it’s one of those games that the fans proably expect to win, but this isn’t the reality of the situation in my view.

I believe this is one of those tricky away fixtures that managers like Mourinho, Ferguson, Wenger, etc, would be happy to get a point from. Would David Moyes get away with earning a draw here under the current circumstances? I doubt it, I reckon he would get plenty of criticism. I don’t expect Moyes to let this effect his team selection though.

The bookmakers have it down as a tight fixture, Shakhtar are 2.70, the Draw is 3.40, and Man Utd are 2.80.

I suspect these odds could change later, depending on Robin Van Persie’s fitness and availability. I expect him to be included, but is he really 100% fit?

Other big teams in action tonight include Real Madrid, Juventus and PSG. All these matches qualify for the Bet365 100% Euro Soccer, and Bore Draw bonuses.

More Profits From The Bet365 Free Bet For Existing Customers

Saturday night’s Champions League final between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund seen a nice risk free £33.25 made by using the £50.00 Bet365 free bet for existing customers.

In the end I chose to use the matched betting method to cash in the bet. As opposed to just having a risk free, free bet – as described in previous post.

For anybody interested, this is what I did. To start with I backed Bayern Munich with Bet365 for £50.00 at 1.75, giving me a return of £87.50. I then placed a lay bet of £50.00 on Bayern with Betfair, which after commission would have given me a £47.50 win (after commission), or a £40.00 loss.

This meant I paid out £90.00 on my qualifying bet, and was guaranteed £87.50 back. Resulting in a loss of £2.50.

Without wishing to overcomplicate things for people not familiar with this process, you rarely get all your money back with a qualifying bet due to Betfair commission (you pay commission on all winnings), and the fact that Betfair’s lay odds are generally higher than the back price with the bookmaker.

What it boils down to, is that I basically bought a £50.00 free bet for £2.50. And that’s good value in my book.

Going back to the qualifying bet, and I missed the 1.8 (4/5) available all Saturday morning on Bet365 for Bayern, and ended up having to take 1.75. I was a bit annoyed when I checked back that evening to see the 1.8 was back, but never mind.

The reason why getting the 1.8 available on Bayern would have been all the better, was because that was their back price on Betfair most of the day, meaning I could have placed my qualifying bet with minimum loss (less than the £2.50 I did lose).

Onto the free bet now. I waited until half time and had a look at the markets to see if anything was in the price range I was looking for. Over 2.5 goals was 3.75 to back with Bet365, and remarkably – was the same price to lay on Betfair.

So I quickly put the £50.00 free bet on with Bet365 @ 3.75. This meant I stood to win £137.50 with Bet365 (not including my £50.00 stake).

I then placed my lay bet of Over 2.5 goals on Betfair. I put £37.00 up at 3.75, this gave me a £101.75 loss, or a £35.15 win after commission.

So if Over 2.5 goals won I got back £187.50 from Bet365. £137.50 in winnings, and my £50.00 stake. Take away the £101.75 loss on Betfair from my £137.50 win with Bet365, and that meant a potential profit of £35.75 on my free bet.

If Over 2.5 goals lost, I would get my £50.00 stake back from Bet365, and I would win £35.15 (after commission) on Betfair. So I stood to win over £35.00 either way.

In the end, Over 2.5 goals won, which meant I got £35.75 back. After I took the £2.50 (from the qualifying bet) off, I was left with a risk free profit of £33.25

In one respect it was a bad result though, as both of the bets placed with Bet365 won. In an ideal world the two bets placed with Bet365 would have lost. This would have kept Bet365 happy, and it would have kept my betting bank in Betfair – where I need it for my general football trading.

As well as offering these £50.00 free bets to existing customers on a regular basis, Bet365 also offer new customers up to £200.00 in free bets. To open a Bet365 and claim these, please click here….

If you wish to open a Betfair account for matched betting, or/and football trading, please click here….