The Confederations Cup is back tonight with the first semi-final, between Brazil and Uruguay.
Hosts Brazil are unsurprisingly the favourites in tonight’s game. To qualify for the final (win by any method), they are 1.16, while Uruguay are 5.00.
The 90 minute betting is more value if you can’t see past a Brazil win. Again, online bookmakers have it priced up heavily in the home sides favour….
Uruguay were adequate in qualifying, without setting the world on fire. And up until their final group match against Italy, Brazil had looked a touch nervous to me. Maybe it was the chance to play with a bit of freedom that produced the more Brazil like performance in their 4-2 victory over the Italians (and some very unlike Italian defending).
For tonight’s game, Andres Scotti of Uruguay is suspended, apart from him both teams are expected to be at full strength.
Despite attacking flare of the class of Neymar, Hulk, Cavani and Suarez on show, I still think Over 2.5 goals looks a bit short. The bookmakers have it priced as 1.57 on Over 2.5 goals, and 2.35 on Under 2.5 goals.
I see it as one of those games that could either be tight and nervous, or it could be one that sees an early Brazilian goal release the shackles and produce free flowing football with plenty of goals.
It’s a hard one to call, but given it’s a semi-final and Brazil might be playing a cautious game, I will be steering clear of Over’s at that price (I’m not a fan of backing Under’s, so that’s out of the question).
If it is to be a tight nervous affair, Neymar to score first and Brazil win 1-0, in a Scorecast bet is 17.00, which looks reasonable value. So I think I will have a small couple of quid on that for a bit of interest (it’s a cheap and easy way for me too have a bet).
And don’t forget with the Bet365 bore draw money back special available on Scorecast bets, it it finishes 0-0 after 90 minutes, I would get my couple of quid back.