Super Cup Winner Betting

It’s the Super Cup tonight, which is UEFA’s battle between their two European Trophy holders, and this year it is an all Spanish affair as Real Madrid take on Sevilla in Cardiff (7.45 Kick Off, UK Time).

Bet365 make Real Madrid heavy odds on favourites to lift the UEFA Super Cup for the second time, with Seville the outsiders. New signing’s, James Rodriguez, Toni Kroos and Keylor Navas are all expected to feature, with Rodriguez the main headline act after his World Cup exploits with Columbia.

Madrid are 2/5 to lift the Cup in 90 minutes, while they can be backed at 2/11 to lift the Trophy (win by any method).

Sevilla on the other hand are a massive looking 7/1 to win in 90 minutes, and 4/1 to lift the trophy. If you fancy a 90 minutes draw, then that can be backed at 17/4 with bet365.

Speaking of draws, and it makes sense to place any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast bets with bet365, because if it is a 0-0 draw, you will get a refund on your first bet on either one of those markets under bet365’s 0-0 bore draw refund, which is available to both new and existing customers.

If you aren’t already a bet365 customer, you can join here and take advantage of their £200.00 Welcome Bonus – a market leading sign up package.

When you get a bet365 account you will see that they are a good bookie for existing customers, with benefits like live streaming of major European football leagues, such as Germany, France and Italy. They also offer existing customers a £50.00 free bet on mobile, and unlimited each-way places on first goal scorer bets.

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Right time to back Man City for Premier League title?

Is now the right time to back Manchester City for the Premier League title?

The 7/4 currently on offer with Bet365 for City to win the league probably won’t return in a hurry – if at all – if Pellegrini’s side demolish Arsenal tomorrow, which they may well do.

The Champions League is gone for a few weeks now, and I believe that the competition had been effecting City in some of the away fixtures that fell around the time of Champions League weeks.

Containment seemed to be Pellegrini’s game plan, rather than sending his team out to win. City’s last two away games have seen a 3-2 victory over West Brom, and a 1-1 draw away at Southampton. Personally I think the Southampton match was a point gained.

If City can sort their away form out, I think that most punters would expect them to win the league. Their home form has been imperious. They are yet to drop a point at the Etihad Stadium, winning seven from seven. While Arsenal have the best away record in the top flight (5/1/1)

If City beat Arsenal on Saturday, their price will disappear. They are already favourites while 6 points behind the Gunners. So if you fancy City, now could well be the time to get on.

Bet365 have Manchester City at 4/5 to win the Saturday dinner time kick off. The Draw is 3/1 and Arsenal are 7/2. The Bet365 Bore Draw Refund also applies to this match.

Man City V Bayern and Shakhtar V Man Utd, Champions League Betting Preview

Tuesday night’s Champions League fixtures seen some remarkable performances and results. There was controversy at Celtic, great wins for Arsenal and Chelsea, and some great late drama at the Porto and Ajax matches.

I was particularly interested to see how Arsenal would fare against Napoli, as Napoli would probably be their stiffest test so far this season. I was amazed at the ease in which the Gunners won in the end, maybe they are the real deal this year? That said, Napoli did look a bit shambolic on the night.

Despite the impressive win, Arsenal are still no where near the favourites in the outright winner betting, Arsene Wenger’s men can currently be backed at 18/1 (joint ninth favourites) with Bet365 to win the Champions League.

The pick of tonight’s matches for me sees Man City v current the Bundesliga, Super Cup and Champions League holders, Bayern Munich. City are 3.25, the Draw is 3.40, Bayern are 2.37.

City have stuttered a bit this season, they have recorded some impressive victories in recent weeks, but have also suffered some shock defeats, the most recent away to Aston Villa on Saturday. Pellegrini will need to turn things around very quickly if they plan to challenge undefeated Bayern Munich, whom have won their last 6 back-to-back fixtures.

City’s neighbours are also in action, and a tie away at Shakhtar looks like one of those fixtures a manager under pressure must dread. On paper it’s one of those games that the fans proably expect to win, but this isn’t the reality of the situation in my view.

I believe this is one of those tricky away fixtures that managers like Mourinho, Ferguson, Wenger, etc, would be happy to get a point from. Would David Moyes get away with earning a draw here under the current circumstances? I doubt it, I reckon he would get plenty of criticism. I don’t expect Moyes to let this effect his team selection though.

The bookmakers have it down as a tight fixture, Shakhtar are 2.70, the Draw is 3.40, and Man Utd are 2.80.

I suspect these odds could change later, depending on Robin Van Persie’s fitness and availability. I expect him to be included, but is he really 100% fit?

Other big teams in action tonight include Real Madrid, Juventus and PSG. All these matches qualify for the Bet365 100% Euro Soccer, and Bore Draw bonuses.

Confederations Cup Final Betting

It’s the final I certainly wanted, and I’m sure the tournament organisers, and majority of football fans would also have hoped for these two to be competing the final – Scolari’s emerging Brazil side, taking on the well oiled Spanish footballing machine.

The bookmakers have it as a close call. They have Spain as marginal favourites in 90 minutes betting, but curiously they can’t separate them in the outright winner market.

90 Minute Betting – Brazil 2.75, Draw 3.20, Spain 2.62

Outright Winner Betting – Brazil 1.90, Spain 1.90

If both sides play to their potential I can’t see past a Spain victory. I believe the Spanish are a far stronger side, they have been playing together for a long time now, and at times they can just look unbeatable.

Unfortunately tournament finals can take on a different feel though, and form can go out of the window. Teams can be far more cautious, and as a result of this finals have a habit of turning into nerve jangling, tight events, where the onus is more on not making the mistake that loses the match, rather than going out and taking the initiative to try and win the competition.

Spain usually have one sticky performance a tournament, and maybe that was it in their semi-final against Italy. If they are back on form tonight, I expect another trophy will be added to Spain’s growing portfolio.

One note of caution regarding Spain though. I do believe they are using this tournament to experiment a bit. If this is the World Cup final tonight, no way does Fernando Torres start in my opinion – despite his goals.

It will be interesting to see how Brazil approach this one. Will Scolari be making sure that they don’t get embarrassed, and attempt to keep things tight? Or will they play the traditional Brazilian way and take the game to Spain, and try to show the world that Brazil are the real footballing nation? I suspect it will be the former.

Onto the Money Back Specials, and Bet365 are offering us the usual 0-0 bore draw money back special tonight. Again this applies to pre match bets placed on one of the Correct Score, Half Time/Full Time or Scorecast, markets.

While Paddy Power’s money back special tonight applies if Neymar scores the last goal in this match (90 minutes only). If he does, Paddy Power will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast single bets on the match, up to a maximum of €/£100 per a customer.