It's Manchester City v Olympiakos from the Etihad on Tuesday (3/11/20), and in my preview, my prediction is a win for City, but a starring role for Kevin de Bruyne.
Manchester City v Olympiakos Tips
All season I feel like I've been waiting for Man City to get going, and so far, something just seems missing - probably an out-and-out striker to be honest!
In the Premier League of late City seem to have been stumbling along. They seem to be both stuttering to draws, and grinding out tight wins by the odd goal.
For all his work rate and talent, Raheem Sterling just doesn't seem right.
Pep's team are simply misfiring
Could the fact that Pep's team are clearly missing a top class striker up front be piling extra pressure on Sterling and affecting his performance? Quite possibly.
But on a positive note, they do have star midfielder Kevin de Bruyne back, and judging by his showing against Sheffield United last weekend, he's now getting back to somewhere near his best form.
Bizarrely, in the Champions League, City haven't struggled for goals. So far they have 6 goals from their 2 matches.
While in the Premier League they have scored just 9 goals in 6 matches, very un-City-like.
City's opponents, Olympiakos, will definitely see Group C as one they can qualify from. So far they have beaten Marseille 1-0 on Matchday 1, and lost 2-0 away to Porto on Matchday 2.
Domestically, they sit second in the Greek Super League after 5 matches. They have won 4 and drawn 1 of their 5 fixtures to date.
Manchester City v Olympiakos Odds
I fully expect City to win this one, although there's clearly little value at 1/5.
On the Handicap, City are just 8/15 at -1, and they are 6/4 at -2. The 6/4 sounds good, but that would mean City needing to win 3-0 or 4-1, etc.
In last week's Champions League, that would have won, but on Premier League form, I can't be backing that.
The value is in backing City to win, and not to score many goals. And that is a risky strategy in my view.
As bad as City have been in front of goal lately, we all know they are going to hammer somebody soon.
Manchester City v Olympiakos Prediction 3/11/20
As I alluded too earlier, Kevin de Bruyne seems to be returning to form. With this in mind I'm going to add de Bruyne to have 2+ shots on target at 11/10 into my bet.
The Belgium midfielder will take the majority of the free kicks, and will also be on spot kick duty.
Combining this bet with a City win pays 2.46, making it just a touch under 6/4.