Can Manchester United be trusted at 1/3 tonight?

I don’t like betting on short priced favourites, and it would be a massive leap of faith to back a short priced favourite in the form of Manchester United at the moment.

United’s form has just been so patchy lately, no one was surprised by Chelsea’s dismantling off them at Stamford Bridge on Sunday, and their home form has arguably been more worrying than their away form.

So priced up at 1/3 with Betfred at home to Sunderland tonight in the Capital One Cup looks a bit of a risky bet. In reality though this is probably United’s only realistic chance of any silverware this season, as I don’t think anybody really gives them much chance of any success in the Champions League.

Surely with a deficit from the 1st leg (they are 2-1 down for anybody just come back from Mars), they are going to beat Sunderland tonight? They just have too.

Will David Moyes risk either of, or maybe both of, Wayne Rooney and Robin van Persie, who both returned to training this week? Surely in the case of van Persie in the long run, he can’t take the chance, while with Rooney, he may just have to go for it?

Even if they get through tonight, the chances are they could well get embarrassed by Manchester City at Wembley, given City’s current form. In a perverse sort of way, it might be better for Moyes’ to fail tonight, than get hammered by City at Wembley. Imagine what that could do his tenure as manager?

Anyway, with or without Rooney and van Persie, most of the bookmakers have United at 1/3 for tonight. Sunderland have done well in this competition so far, and can’t be taken lightly, so for me there is probably just too much doubt – and therefore lack of value – to take United at 1/3.

A bit more value could be had if you think a win for United will be enough to send them through on aggregate (ie, they win 2-0 or 3-2), you can get 2/5 on United to qualify for the final with Bet365.

Don’t forget that Bet365 offer £200.00 in free bets to new sign ups, and if you are having a 90 minute bet on the match tonight, you can take advantage of the 0-0 bore draw refund, or maybe the 100% Euro Soccer Bonus if you are having an accumulator (more details off these offers can be found in the side bar to the right).

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