A reasonable start to Pre Match Trading experiment
I’ve finally got round to publishing the results of my first 3 weeks of trading matches pre kick off. Starting off with a betting bank of £100 and looking for around 5-10% a week profit, here is my first results update……
Week 1 Results
1st September Tottenham v Norwich / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.10
1st September Man City v QPR / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 84p
2nd September Southampton v Man Utd / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.36
Week 1, profit of £3.30
Week 2 Results
7th September Wales v Belgium / Match Odds – Won £6.32
7th September Argentina v Paraguay / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.29
Week 2, profit of £7.61
Week 3 Results
11th September England v Ukraine / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.05
15th September Arsenal v Southampton / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Lost 34p
15th September Stoke v Man City / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 79p
15th September Sunderland v Liverpool / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £3.60
15th September Sunderland v Liverpool / Match Odds – Won £1.31
15th September Getafe v Barcelona / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won 55p
16th September Reading v Tottenham / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Lost £3.18
16th September Sociedad v Zaragoza / Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Won £1.28
Week 3, profit of £5.06
1st September Swansea v Sunderland – Won £1.75 using the Assured Soccer Profits system.
A total profit of £15.97 for the first 3 weeks of my experiment in Pre Match Trading, it’s not world beating, but it’s a reasonable start and it is 3 weeks continuous growth, which is probably some sort of betting record for me.
When I decided to trial this system I did so on the understanding that I would look for small weekly profits of about 5-10%, I also decided that it is to be a long term project.
With this in mind and the fact that I am still finding my feet and learning as I go along, I suppose I should be happy with £15.97 for the first 3 weeks, which is give or take 5% a profit a week.
I have also learnt that I do have a bit of an Achilles Heel with this system. On two or three occasions when I haven’t quite managed to close out my bets pre match, I have allowed the trade to run into the first 2-3 minutes in order to get the price down that one tick I need to get matched.
I have got away with it so far, but I know I can’t let it carry on as I will get stung one day doing it. I was watching the Seville V Real Madrid match on Saturday and seen a goal in the 2nd minute and it kind of reminded me just how risky a move it is to not be finished trading before the game kicks off.
On top of this I also used the Assured Soccer Profits system again and made a small profit of £1.75. I think I will use this system more regularly again but will select my games very carefully, as opposed to last season when I traded any game using the system.
I have also traded the Premier League relegation markets in running during Saturday afternoons and now have small greens on Swansea and Fulham going down. This is another market I am looking to get more familiar with. It is a slow moving market where I can back long prices with small stakes, so hopefully I won’t get caught out and end up having money unnecessarily tied up in it for long periods.
A few quid won betting on Cricket has also help boost the Betfair account, so all in all it has been a decent start to my latest relaunch. I aim to blog my results weekly online from here on, I am running my trading week from Monday to Sunday so in future I hope to post my results by Monday night at the latest.